The Czech general election last weekend produced some interesting results. Most attention, understandably, has gone to the substantial shift in the balance of power between the parties: all the establishment parties took a hammering, notably the People’s Party (Christian Democrats) who failed to win any seats in Parliament for the first time in the history of the Czech Republic or Czechoslovakia (aside from the wartime protectorate state). Two new parties, whose priorities are, respectively, deficit reduction and anti-corruption, got into Parliament, and will probably form a coalition with the dominant force on the right since the fall of communism, the Civic Democratic Party, which nevertheless suffered a 15% fall against the 2006 election.
But the results get more interesting when we look at the actual MPs who got elected. Czechs’ disaffection with the political class did not stop with turnover of political parties. Voters also used their power to partially determine who should sit in Parliament for each party. The Czech Republic uses a PR system which allocates seats proportionately to each party that gets over 5% of the national vote within 14 electoral regions. The number of seats each region gets allocated depends on the number of voters who cast their ballot there. Each elector also has the option of giving up to four ‘preferential votes’ to individual candidates for the particular party they vote for. Any candidate who gets 5% or more of the total number of votes cast for his or her party in a given region automatically moves to the top of the party list, no matter where they were placed on the list to begin with (naturally, if several candidates exceed the 5% threshold, their order on the list is determined by who got more preferential votes).
By my calculations, no less than 45 out of 200 MPs were elected on the strength of preferential votes – in other words, they would not have got into Parliament if voters had respected the order in which candidates were ranked by party secretariats. For comparison, in the previous elections in 2006, only six MPs were elected by these means. A word of caution is in order, because a change to the electoral law has made it easier for voters to use the power of preferential votes, by lowering the threshold from 7% to 5% of the regional party vote, and by giving each voter four preferences in place of the previous two. But few had predicted that voters would use their increased influence to this extent.
Arguably the phenomenon of these elections, however, is the success of candidates who were placed at the very bottom of their respective parties’ lists (in the case of larger parties and larger regions, lists may contain 30 or 40 names). This is where an Internet effect seems to have played a part. In the weeks before the election, two relatively well-known civic activists, one a nuclear physicist, the other a novelist, launched an online campaign called Defenestration 2010 – Circle those at the bottom! Operating on a non-partisan basis, they urged voters, whichever party they vote for, to give their preferential votes to the last four names on the list, according to the logic these were the candidates least likely to be embroiled in the ‘machinery of corruption’ that many Czechs feel characterises the whole political establishment. To an extent the campaign seems to have worked, although possibly only when it was publicised in the mass media. Defenestration 2010 has 9,300 Facebook friends, but it received substantial coverage in the daily press, radio and TV.
Ten candidates placed in the bottom four(1) of their party lists were elected to Parliament. In 2006 there were no similar examples. Possibly more importantly, from the campaign’s perspective, there were several high-profile casualties: some MPs tainted by involvement in major scandals failed to get re-elected. It remains to be seen, however, whether all the ‘no-hopers’ will actually take up their seats. Some of them are youngsters, even students, but others include successful business people and local mayors, who were on the lists to demonstrate their support for a party, but who clearly would not have expected to be elected. Pressure is on them now from all sides.
(1) Or in the bottom 8 in larger regions, where the campaign suggested voters who vote on the first day of polling give their preferential votes to the last four candidates, and voters on the second day of polling circle the names ranked 5th to 8th from last.